Florida outside Dorian’s cone, remains stationary, harms Grand Bahama

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Credit: WINK News Hurricane Dorian forecast cone model as of 11 p.m. Monday, Sept. 2, 2019.

The WINK News Weather Authority confirms the 11 p.m. NHC update shows the entire state of Florida outside of Hurricane Dorian’s forecast cone Monday night.

Still, Hurricane Dorian continues to be stalled out over Grand Bahama Island, but has weakened slightly in winds speed. It continues to be a Category 4 hurricane just shy of being demoted to a Category 3, as it continues to batter the island with wind, rain and storm surge.

The National Hurricane Center emphasizes Dorian is still an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation for affected areas, and they are being asked to continue remaining within shelters. Wind gusts are currently reaching 165 mph, with storm surge 12 to 18 feet above normal tide levels. These conditions are causing extreme destruction on the island and will reportedly continue through Tuesday morning.

All of Southwest Florida is still outside of Dorian’s forecast cone, but a Tropical Storm watch is in effect for Lake Okeechobee.

The latest track from NHC still has Dorian’s center of circulation staying just off the coast of Florida. However, there are a few forecast models that have Dorian dangerously close, so these areas need to continue to monitor the storm closely.

NHC says Dorian’s consensus forecast model remains largely the same and in agreement with. Dorian is projected to move a little faster to the north on Wednesday and to the northeast on Thursday and Friday.

WINK News Weather Authority team is working hard to monitor and forecast this storm as it approaches the east coast.

We have put together two possibilities with our two most reliable forecast models: the European model and the American model. The difference in these models has shrunk significantly compared to yesterday. Right now, they are in good agreement that Southwest Florida will receive 0.5-2.5″ inches of rain and wind gusts will reach 25-35 miles per hour. We will continue to fine-tune this forecast over the coming days. Please keep in mind that this forecast *WILL* change.

As of 11 p.m. Monday, Hurricane Dorian remains a Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130 miles per hour, which is one mph above a Category 3. The center is currently wobbling over the Grand Bahama Island, approximately 105 east of West Palm Beach, Florida. The current location is at 26.9°N 78.5°W, and the storm is stationary with minimum pressure of 946 mb.

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WATCHES AND WARNINGS

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

Storm Surge Warning is in effect for:
* Lantana to Altamaha Sound

Storm Surge Watch is in effect for:
* North of Deerfield Beach to south of Lantana
* Altamaha Sound to South Santee River

Hurricane Warning is in effect for:
* Grand Bahama and the Abacos Islands in the northwestern Bahamas
* Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach

Hurricane Watch is in effect for:
* North of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet
* North of Ponte Vedra Beach to South Santee River

Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:
* North of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet

Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for:
* North of Golden Beach to Deerfield Beach
* Lake Okeechobee

Storm Surge Warning is in effect northward from Altamaha Sound, Georgia to the Savannah River.

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