BREAKING NEWS Know your zone: Evacuation zones ahead of Milton

Milton downgrades to Category 4, heavy impacts expected in SWFL

Published: Updated:
Credit: The Weather Authority

The Weather Authority is continuing to track Hurricane Milton, which continues to be a major hurricane even as it was downgraded slightly.

According to the National Hurricane Center’s 8 a.m. Tuesday update, Milton remains a Category 4 storm.

Winds are currently at 145 mph, and the storm is moving at 12 mph east-northeast, about 545 miles southwest of Tampa.

Please note that Milton is expected to re-intensify into a Category 5 storm on Tuesday and downgrade into a Category 3 storm by Wednesday due to wind shear.

It will be tough to determine where Milton makes landfall because it will wobble on its approach to the coast of Florida on Wednesday.

Right now, Southwest Florida is within the cone where the center of the storm can track, and we should all be preparing for a major hurricane that will land on Wednesday night.

Please prepare, as we will see greater impacts than we saw with Helene.

Watches and Warnings

A storm surge warning has been issued from the Volusia/Brevard County Line northward to the mouth of the St. Mary’s River, including the St. Johns River.

A hurricane warning has been issued for the west coast of Florida from Bonita Beach northward to the mouth of the Suwannee River, including Tampa Bay.

A hurricane watch has been issued for the Florida west coast from Chokoloskee to south of Bonita Beach and Lake Okeechobee.

Breaking it Down

Hurricane Hunters found that Milton was strengthening in the Gulf Monday morning. Max wind speed has increased and pressures are dropping.

Conditions in the short term, including lower shear, will allow for gradual or even rapid intensification as it heads across the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days.

The official forecast calls for a Major Hurricane, with intensity models currently showing Category 3-5 at peak.

As Milton approaches the west coast of Florida, it will be entering an area with more wind shear, and minor weakening will be possible up through landfall.

The Weather Authority Meteorologist Zach Maloch said, “The storm is now moving east, northeast of the Yucatan Penisula. This now Category 4 hurricane, Milton, remains an extremely dangerous storm. Wind shear is expected to weaken the storm slightly before it reaches landfall as a Category 3 storm.”

Storm Surge Threat

Life-threatening storm surges will hit Southwest Florida on Wednesday, and the surges will be greater than those we saw with Helene.

Five-10 feet of surge is forecast for Lee and Charlotte Counties, and 4-7 feet of surge is forecast for Collier County

If you are told to evacuate, please do so! You do not have to go far, so move farther inland to a shelter or a friend’s home.

Storm Size

This storm will not be as big as Helene, which had a tropical storm-force wind field over 450 miles long. Current projections for Milton’s tropical storm-force wind field will be around 325 miles long or wide. It is still a formidable storm. Remember that the maximum wind speed is only contained in a small part of the storm and not throughout the entire storm. For those who see those max winds, however, it will be very damaging.

Storm motion

The forward motion at landfall will be close to 14-15 mph, not as slow as Hurricane Ian but not as fast as Hurricane Helene.

The storm will make landfall on Wednesday. You have Monday and Tuesday to either evacuate if you are told to do so or prepare your homes for impactful weather on Wednesday. Review your hurricane plan and put that plan into action.

Here’s a link to the WINK News Hurricane Guide for helpful information as Milton approaches SWFL: winknews.com/hurricane-guide-2024.

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