Just like a real-life movie, the story of Buddy the Elf meeting his biological father has come to life, just in time for the holidays.

Doug Henning wore a costume like the one actor Will Ferrell’s character wore in “Elf” while meeting his father face to face for the first time last week at Boston’s Logan Airport. He even broke into the same awkward song from the 2003 movie — sample lyrics: “I’m here, with my dad. And we never met, and he wants me to sing him a song!”

“When he came out of the airport, he probably thought I was a lunatic,” Henning, 43, of Eliot, Maine, told Boston.com. “It was a really good way to break the ice.”

His biological father didn’t get the joke because he hadn’t seen the movie, which is about a man raised at the North Pole who meets his dad for the first time. But that didn’t stop him from giving his son a big hug.

Henning said he was raised by “amazing” adoptive parents but he was excited when cousins he met through ancestry.com helped to put him in touch with his biological father. Just like the movie, the father didn’t know about his son.

The two met on Zoom and Henning’s dad was able to fly to Boston for Thanksgiving.

Henning said he was inspired to dress as the character from “Elf” after watching the movie before the meetup. Henning said his father gained a son and became a grandfather. Henning is the first of the father’s children to become a parent.

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The SEC West rivalry game between No. 1 Alabama and LSU set for Saturday night in Death Valley was at one time expected to be a defining matchup in the race for the division title, but nothing has gone as planned in the 2020 college football season. The Tigers have fallen on hard times after claiming the national title last season, but they would love nothing more than to win their second straight in this rivalry and play spoiler in Alabama’s quest for the College Football Playoff.

It’s going to be a tall order against this version of the Crimson Tide, who are hellbent on making it back to the playoff after missing out last year. With them, they bring one of the most potent offenses in the country and potentially three Heisman Trophy contenders in quarterback Mac Jones, running Najee Harris and wide receiver DeVonta Smith. Plus, Nick Saban will be back on the sidelines after battling his own case of COVID-19 and missing last week’s game against Auburn.

Can the Tigers play spoiler in this heated rivalry or will the Tide continue their run back to the SEC Championship Game and the College Football Playoff? Let’s take a closer look at the storylines to follow and matchups to watch before making some expert picks both straight up and against the spread.

Storylines

Alabama: The offense has gotten all of the buzz, but have you seen the Crimson Tide play defense lately? They have notched 26 tackles for loss over the last four games and gave up just 3.84 yards per play in November. This all while leading the SEC in opponent red zone conversion percentage at 47.83%. It’s going to be fascinating to see what Saban and defensive coordinator Pete Golding dial up against a Tigers offense that has been all over the place this season. There are stars galore on offense, but the emergence of tight end Jahleel Billingsley has been one of the more surprising storylines to develop during the latter half of the season. He caught five passes for 111 yards and one touchdown over the last two games after catching just one pass in the other six this season. If Alabama wasn’t scary enough, it’s finding new weapons as the season progresses.

LSU: The Tigers posted their best defensive performance of the season last week when they held Texas A&M to 3.76 yards per play and allowed Kellen Mond to complete just 11 of his 34 passes. Is that the start of a trend or a wet weather anomaly that should be viewed as such? Coach Ed Orgeron better hope that it’s the former, otherwise it’ll be a long night. Why? It’s unlikely that the Tigers, with an offensive line that can’t block and either T.J. Finley and Max Johnson taking the snaps, will be able to keep up in a shootout. To compound issues, star wide receiver Terrace Marshall opted out of the remainder of the season this week.

Viewing information

Date: Saturday, Dec. 5 | Time: 8 p.m. ET
Location: Tiger Stadium — Baton Rouge, Louisiana
TV: CBS | Live stream:  CBSSports.comCBS Sports App (Free)
OTT: CBS Sports App (Apple TV, Roku, Fire TV, Chromecast)

Alabama at LSU prediction, picks

Latest Odds:Crimson Tide -28.5

This is a massive spread, but don’t worry about it. Lay the points and enjoy the offensive show that Alabama will put on Saturday night in prime time. Saban’s crew is averaging 48.5 points per game this season, and has topped the 40-point mark in seven straight contests. This LSU team not only can’t keep up, but will struggle to get to double digits. Pick: Alabama (-28.5)

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The family of two young boys who died after a car crashed into a canal in Cape Coral now believes they’re closer to justice.

The boys’ father, Kenneth Wayne Lawson, and his girlfriend Julia Ann Drudy faced a judge Saturday for the first time after being arrested on Friday.

Kenneth Lawson’s bond was set at $550,000 and Julia Drudy’s bond was set at $10,000. Drudy turned herself in Friday night after Cape Coral police held a press conference stating that Lawson had been arrested and that they were looking for her.

Drudy was in the vehicle at the time of the Nov. 25 crash that killed the two boys, John Wayne, 10, and Titus, 7. She was charged with a moving traffic violation while Lawson was charged with two counts of DUI manslaughter and for driving with a suspended license.

Suspects Kenneth Lawson and Julia Drudy. Credit: via Cape Coral Police Department.

WINK News went to the home where Drudy was arrested and learned that she’d only been staying there for a week. The people who live in the home say they had no idea she was involved with the case.

Drudy will be back in court Dec. 21 while Lawson won’t be back in court until Jan. 4.

Brothers 10-yer-old John Wayne and 7-year-old Titus. Credit: WINK News.

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The family and friends of a missing Cape Coral woman organized a walk in her honor on Saturday. It’s been six months since Lauren Dumolo went missing and her sister says the case cannot go cold.

After months without answers in the case, the Southwest Florida community came together to show that they are not giving up the search for her. They walked the same path Dumolo would take to Four Freedoms Park in Cape Coral.

Sonia Mancha was there to show her support. “The reason we’re out is the same reason I’d want somebody to come out for my sister or for me is she’s a mother. And that’s what brought us out.”

Danielle Langevin helped organize the walk. “We don’t want the case to go cold. We don’t want people to forget about her. She has a daughter.”

Her daughter will have to spend the holidays without a mother.

“You would think as the days go by and as the months go by now that it would get easier and it doesn’t. As holidays, or even as the days go by, it’s just as hard today as it was six months ago,” said Cassie Carey, Dumolo’s sister.

“We’ve had nothing that would have led us to Lauren. Obviously, we’re still searching for her, but leads are coming in daily. Police are still working on finding her. It’s not a cold case, as long as people realize that your little bit of information is important then we can hopefully solve it.”

Everyone is still holding out hope. “We love you, we just want you to come home. We want you to be safe, and the day that you do walk back into our lives we will be welcoming you with open arms,” Carey said.

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Tina Morton recently faced a choice: Pay bills — or buy a birthday gift for a child? Derrisa Green is falling further behind on rent. Sylvia Soliz has had her electricity cut off.

Unemployment has forced aching decisions on millions of Americans and their families in the face of a rampaging viral pandemic that has closed shops and restaurants, paralyzed travel and left millions jobless for months. Now, their predicaments stand to grow bleaker yet if Congress fails to extend two unemployment programs that are set to expire the day after Christmas.

If no agreement is reached in negotiations taking place on Capitol Hill, more than 9 million people will lose federal jobless aid that averages about $320 a week and that typically serves as their only source of income.

Green, 39, and her husband are among them. An end to their unemployment benefits would force them to keep missing rent payments on their home in Dyer, Indiana, near Chicago. The couple have eight children. Green’s husband is a self-employed truck driver whose business disappeared when the pandemic erupted in the spring. Only in October did he start to pick up occasional work.

He now receives about $235 a week in unemployment aid. Even so, “all of our bills are late,” Green said. They’ve received several shutoff notices from utilities before managing to pay just before service was to be cut off.

“That’s really scary,” Green said, “because what are we going to do when we lose the unemployment money?”

The end of jobless aid is approaching at an especially perilous time. Job growth slowed sharply in November, and the resurgence of viral cases appears to be out of control across the country.

Even with the prospect of an effective vaccine being widely distributed in coming months, economists say the picture will worsen before it improves. Many foresee a net loss of jobs in December for the first time since April.

On Friday, President-elect Joe Biden called on Congress to quickly approve a bipartisan $908 billion package that would establish a $300-a-week jobless benefit as well as send aid to states and localities, help schools and universities, revive subsidies for businesses and support transit systems and airlines. Details are still being worked out, but the outlines of a final bill could emerge soon.

More than 20 million people are now receiving unemployment benefits. More than half are beneficiaries of two programs that were part of rescue aid legislation Congress enacted in March. One program made self-employed and contract workers eligible for jobless aid for the first time and provided 39 weeks of support. The other program supplied 13 weeks of extended benefits to the 26 weeks that most states provide.

About 9.1 million who are receiving aid from those programs will be cut off Dec. 26, according to a report from the Century Foundation. An additional 4.4 million are expected to exhaust all 39 weeks by year’s end. If Congress agrees to provide more weeks of aid and to revive both programs, those beneficiaries could keep receiving aid next year.

That would be a life-saver for Sylvia Soliz who lives in Corpus Christi, Texas. Soliz, 36, who still owes part of her rent for November and December, has received an eviction notice. She’s also just had her electricity cut off.

Back in March, Soliz was laid off from her job as a nurse’s assistant at a senior living facility. She’s now receiving $414 in jobless aid every two weeks. With four children, it doesn’t go very far.

“The day I get it, it’s already gone because my kids need so many things,” Soliz said. “Of course, I have to pay a portion to whatever bill I have, so that way I can stretch it out. But every time another check comes in, it’s another bill.”

Soliz is applying for a new job, and she checks in with her old employer. So far, no luck. She also worries about contracting COVID-19. Soliz is hopeful that Congress will agree to provide more aid, but she feels “they are basically gambling with us.”

A cutoff of jobless benefits now, with so many millions of Americans still receiving the aid, would be unusually early compared with previous recessions. In the aftermath of the Great Recession of 2008-2009, the government extended unemployment benefits to 99 weeks, and the additional aid lasted through 2013. When that program ended, about 1.3 million people lost benefits — a small fraction of the number who would lose jobless aid this time.

Other government protections will also expire at the end of this year, including a federal moratorium on evictions for renters. A suspension of payments on federal student loans will expire at the end of January.

“I am very afraid of people facing homelessness — that’s our top concern,” said Andrew Stettner, a senior fellow at the Century Foundation. “It’s a terrible unforced policy error to make. It will slow the recovery that we’re having by cutting off these benefits so early.”

About one in six renters in the United States are behind on their rent, according to a survey from the Census Bureau. And 12% of adults say their families didn’t have enough to eat at some point in the past week, the survey found. That’s up from just 3.7% in 2019, according to the left-leaning Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

A wrenching set of choices has confronted Keli Paaske, who lives in the Kansas City area. Since being furloughed in the spring from her sales job at a company that makes fire doors, Paaske, 56, has cut back her grocery budget. She thought she’d be called back once the virus waned. But when her boss phoned in August, it was with a different message: Her job had been eliminated.

Paaske had hesitated to spend $360 needed to euthanize her 15-year old dog, who had a brain tumor, before going through with it. Without unemployment aid, Paaske isn’t sure how she would manage. She may seek financial help from her parents, who are in their 80s, something she has resisted doing. If she doesn’t find a job by March, she said, she’ll stop leasing her car.

Across the country, a cutoff of jobless aid would disproportionately affect Black Americans, according to data from the Century Foundation. About 18% of unemployment aid recipients are Black, the Foundation said, though Black Americans make up just 12% of the workforce. More than 57% of recipients are white. Nearly 13% are Latino. (There is no demographic data on about one-fifth of recipients.)

Tina Morton used to clean houses near where she lives in Winchester, Kentucky. But there’s been little work since the pandemic struck. Like many other single mothers, she has struggled with the need to find another job while simultaneously caring for children — a son and two nephews she has custody of — who are attending school online at home.

“Single parents cannot go out here and … just find any job,” said Morton, 39. “We’ve got our kids here that are stuck at home.”

Last week, Morton had to choose between paying a phone bill and buying one of her nephews a birthday present. (She got him a present). If her jobless aid ends, she expects to face painful decisions.

She’s particularly worried about her two nephews.

“That’s what hurts me the most,” she said. “My job is to give them more — give them better than where they came from.”

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The Florida Department of Health in Lee County has announced its walk-up COVID-19 testing schedule for the month of December.

In addition to COVID-19 testing, DOH also offers influenza vaccinations and Hepatitis A vaccines. The flu vaccine is for anyone who is six months and older and is not sick. The Hepatitis A vaccine is offered to any 18 and older.

For most sites, testing is from 9 a.m. to 12:30 p.m. There is no fee for testing. Identification is not required. Neither a doctor’s note nor an appointment is required to get tested.

Officials ask that you park and walk-up as these are not drive-thru testing sites. Parking is limited at some locations.

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The coronavirus surpassed heart disease as the leading cause of death in the United States this week, as many of the nation’s hospitals are overwhelmed and officials implement new COVID-19 restrictions.

A record-breaking 227,885 new cases were reported in the U.S. on Friday alone — the first time the daily case count has topped 220,000, according to a tally from Johns Hopkins University.

An average of 2,000 people have died of the disease each day since last Saturday. The total U.S. death toll is over a quarter-million, and projections coming from the White House show it could hit half a million by March, CBS News’ Michael George reports.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued its strongest call for masks yet on Friday, urging Americans to wear masks indoors when not at home in an effort to control the spread of the virus.

This week, 11 states broke records for new cases reported in a single day. Across the country, 100,000 people are in hospitals, and with each day, fewer beds are available.

“It’s one giant ball of anxiety trying to figure out where the next patient’s going to go,” Wisconsin respiratory therapist Donovan Boetcher said.

Charge nurse Mavic Tjardes, who works with Boetcher at the UW Health University Hospital, called the situation “difficult.”

“Nurses are the first person that our patients see, and nurses are the last person that they will see at their last breath,” she said.

The strain on health care workers is made worse by people who don’t do their part.

“I feel like on social media, there’s a lot of talk of health care heroes and all that,” Boetcher said. “Well, if you really want to respect people in health care or anyone that has to work right now, stay home. Wear a mask.”

Their pleas don’t reach everybody. A Young Republican gala in New Jersey drew 150 mostly maskless attendees, as well as Rep. Matt Gaetz from Florida.

“It is beyond the pale that anyone would willingly endanger people in another state, never mind their own,” said New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, who shut down the venue.

Murphy singled out Gaetz this week in a COVID-19 briefing.

“I hope you’re watching, Matt. You are not welcome in New Jersey,” Murphy said. “And frankly, I don’t ever want you back in this state.”

California is also pulling back its welcome mat. Bars, wineries and salons will close in counties where intensive care beds are in short supply. Restaurants in those regions will be closed save for takeout, and even attending private gatherings will be prohibited.

While the order is hard on small businesses, state officials are trying to avoid more heartbreaking stories, like that of 33-year-old Erika Becerra.

Becerra was eight months pregnant when she got sick. “We prayed for her, we talked to her, we comforted her to the last moments,” her brother said.

Doctors delivered her baby, but could not save her.

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As of 3:30 p.m. Saturday, there have been 1,049,638 positive cases of the coronavirus recorded in the state. The case count includes 1,032,552 Florida residents and 17,086 non-Florida residents. There are 19,084 Florida resident deaths reported, 243 non-resident deaths, and 56,317 hospitalizations at some point during illness, according to the Florida Department of Health.

*Numbers are released by the DOH every afternoon.

STATEWIDE NUMBERS

Total number of recorded cases: 1,049,638 (up from 1,039,207)
Florida resident deaths: 19,084 (up from 18,994)
Non-resident deaths: 243 (up from 242)
Total deaths in state (Fla./non-Fla. residents combined): 19,327 (up from 19,236)

  • 10,431 total new cases reported Saturday
  • 90 new resident deaths reported Saturday
  • 1 new non-resident deaths reported Saturday
  • Percent positive for new cases in Fla. residents: 7.32%
    • This percent is the number of people who test PCR- or antigen-positive for the first time divided by all the people tested that day, excluding people who have previously tested positive. 

SOUTHWEST FLORIDA NUMBERS

Total recorded cases in SWFL: 61,862 (up from 61,207)
Deaths: 1,183 (up from 1,170)

  • 655 total new cases reported Saturday
  • 13 new deaths reported Saturday

Lee County: 31,897 cases (up from 31,571) – 598 deaths (4 new)
Collier County: 18,751 (up from 18,548) – 293 deaths (4 new)
Charlotte County: 5,437 (up from 5,354) – 200 deaths (3 new)
DeSoto County: 2,492 (up from 2,473) – 37 deaths (2 new)
Glades County: 691 (up from 685) – 10 deaths
Hendry County: 2,594 (up from 2,576) – 45 deaths

Click HERE* for a case-by-case breakdown – updated daily.

*If not linked, the final report has not yet been made available.

TESTING DATA

Effective Oct. 27, the Florida Department of Health ceased releasing data showing overall testing numbers. Their statement: “The Florida Department of Health is making adjustments to the COVID-19 dashboard and daily report to provide clear, accurate information for Florida families. Moving forward, the daily report will focus on the number of tests reported to the state by day and the corresponding positivity rate by day. The previously reported cumulative number did not reflect the current status of the pandemic in Florida. This change is in line with the CDC recommendation that calculation of percent positivity [is] applied consistently and with clear communication, will allow public health officials to follow magnitude and trends effectively, and the trends will be useful for local public health decision making.”


RESOURCES

NOW HIRINGSWFL companies adding jobs

#GulfshoreStrong: Covering people making a difference in SWFL

FOOD PANTRIES: Harry Chapin mobile food pantry schedule, week of Nov. 30

REPORT COVID-19 DIAGNOSIS/TEST: International self-reporting system


IF YOU FEEL SICK:

The Florida Department of Health has a 24-hour COVID-19 Call Center at 1-866-779-6121. Questions may also be emailed to covid-19@flhealth.gov. Email responses will be sent during call center hours.

LINKFlorida Department of Health COVID-19 updates

*The map is best viewed on a desktop computer. If you don’t see the map above tap HERE for a fullscreen version.

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Scientists are seeing promising early results from the first studies testing gene editing for painful, inherited blood disorders that plague millions worldwide.

Doctors hope the one-time treatment, which involves permanently altering DNA in blood cells with a tool called CRISPR, may treat and possibly cure sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia.

Partial results were presented Saturday at an American Society of Hematology conference and some were published by the New England Journal of Medicine.

Doctors described 10 patients who are at least several months removed from their treatment. All no longer need regular blood transfusions and are free from pain crises that plagued their lives before.

Victoria Gray, the first patient in the sickle cell study, had long suffered severe pain bouts that often sent her to the hospital.

“I had aching pains, sharp pains, burning pains, you name it. That’s all I’ve known my entire life,” said Gray, 35, who lives in Forest, Mississippi. “I was hurting everywhere my blood flowed.”

Since her treatment a year ago, Gray has weaned herself from pain medications she depended on to manage her symptoms.

“It’s something I prayed for my whole life,” she said. “I pray everyone has the same results I did.”

Sickle cell affects millions, mostly Black people. Beta thalassemia strikes about one in 100,000 people. The only cure now is a bone marrow transplant from a closely matched donor without the disease like a sibling, which most people don’t have.

Both diseases involve mutations in a gene for hemoglobin, the substance in red blood cells that carries oxygen throughout the body.

In sickle cell, defective hemoglobin leads to deformed, crescent-shaped blood cells that don’t carry oxygen well. They can stick together and clog small vessels, causing pain, organ damage and strokes.

Those with beta thalassemia don’t have enough normal hemoglobin, and suffer anemia, fatigue, shortness of breath and other symptoms. Severe cases require transfusions every two to five weeks.

The treatment studied attacks the problem at its genetic roots.

In the womb, fetuses make a special type of hemoglobin. After birth, when babies breathe on their own, a gene is activated that instructs cells to switch and make an adult form of hemoglobin instead. The adult hemoglobin is what’s defective in people with one of these diseases. The CRISPR editing aims to cut out the switching gene.

“What we are doing is turning that switch back off and making the cells think they are back in utero, basically,” so they make fetal hemoglobin again, said one study leader, Dr. Haydar Frangoul of the Sarah Cannon Research Institute in Nashville.

The treatment involves removing stem cells from the patient’s blood, then using CRISPR in a lab to knock out the switching gene. Patients are given strong medicines to kill off their other, flawed blood-producing cells. Then they are given back their own lab-altered stem cells.

Saturday’s results were on the first 10 patients, seven with beta thalassemia and three with sickle cell. The two studies in Europe and the United States are ongoing and will enroll 45 patients each.

Tests so far suggest the gene editing is working as desired with no unintended effects, Frangoul said.

“The preliminary results are extremely encouraging,” he said.

The study was sponsored by the therapy’s makers — CRISPR Therapeutics, with headquarters in Zug, Switzerland, and Massachusetts-based Vertex Pharmaceuticals. Some study leaders consult for the companies.

Separately, Dr. David Williams of Harvard-affiliated Boston Children’s Hospital gave partial results from a study testing a novel type of gene therapy that also seeks to restore fetal hemoglobin production for those with sickle cell.

Six patients including one as young as 7 were given the treatment, in which some of their blood stem cells were removed and altered in the lab to muffle the hemoglobin switching gene. None have had pain crises, five of the six no longer need transfusions and all have near-normal hemoglobin, he reported at the conference and in the medical journal.

Government grants paid for the work. Williams is named on a patent for the therapy, which Boston Children’s has licensed to Bluebird Bio Inc. of Cambridge, Massachusetts. The company provided the therapy for the study, which will enroll 10 people in all to establish safety. A larger study to test effectiveness is planned.

Williams, who was not involved in Frangoul’s study, said it “validates this approach” of targeting the hemoglobin switching gene to tackle sickle cell.

___

Chief medical writer Marilynn Marchione contributed from Milwaukee.

___

The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Department of Science Education. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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States faced a deadline on Friday to place orders for the coronavirus vaccine as many reported record infections, hospitalizations and deaths, while hospitals were pushed to the breaking point — with the worst feared yet to come.

The number of Americans hospitalized with COVID-19 hit an all-time high in the U.S. on Thursday at 100,667, according to the COVID Tracking Project. That figure has more than doubled over the past month, while new daily cases are averaging 210,000 and deaths are averaging 1,800 per day, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

Arizona reported more than 5,000 new COVID-19 cases for the second straight day Friday as the number of available intensive care unit beds fell below 10% statewide. Hospital officials have said the outbreak will exceed hospital capacity this month.

The state expects to get enough doses of new coronavirus vaccines by the end of the year to inoculate more than 383,000 health care workers and long-term care facility residents, the state’s health director said Friday. Next in line are teachers and other essential workers, followed by older Arizonans or people otherwise at higher risk of serious cases of COVID-19.

Nevada reported 48 new deaths from the coronavirus Thursday, marking the deadliest day since the onset of the pandemic as cases and deaths continued to rise more than a week after new restrictions were implemented on businesses. One hospital was so full it was treating patients in an auxiliary unit in the parking garage.

State officials said Friday that they expect to receive 164,000 doses this month.

North Carolina reported a record 5,600 new confirmed cases Thursday and 2,100 hospitalizations, as it awaited nearly 85,000 doses of the Pfizer vaccine, perhaps as early as Dec. 15.

Health care workers at a limited number of mostly large hospitals will be the first in line to receive the vaccine, prioritizing those who are at highest risk of exposure to the virus, officials said. Future doses will be distributed to more hospitals and to local health departments, followed by nursing home staff and residents.

Health officials fear the pandemic will get worse before it gets better because of delayed effects from Thanksgiving, when millions of Americans disregarded warnings to stay home and celebrate only with members of their household.

At the same time, hospitals — and their workers — were stretched to the limit.

In Pennsylvania, almost half of all hospitals in the south-central region and a third of those in the southwest anticipated staffing shortages within a week, according to the state Department of Health.

The state’s top health official, Dr. Rachel Levine, said Thursday that 85% of the state’s intensive care beds were occupied and modeling shows they’ll be full this month. Meanwhile, nurses in the Philadelphia area said the overwhelming number of COVID-19 patients was affecting the quality of care they can provide.

“I hear from physicians and from hospital leadership all the time about how strained the hospitals are,” Levine said.

Officials also are concerned that Americans will let down their guard once states begin administering vaccines.

It will take weeks to months before many of the nation’s most vulnerable residents can be immunized, White House coronavirus response coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx said Thursday. Until then, Americans should not hold indoor gatherings with people they don’t live with or take off their masks when they’re outdoors, and should continue to keep their distance from others and wash their hands, she said.

“I think everyone can see that this current surge that we’re experiencing is much faster and broader across the United States and is lasting longer,” Birx said after a meeting at United Nations headquarters in New York.

Nationwide, the coronavirus is blamed for almost 277,000 deaths and 14 million confirmed infections.

An influential modeling group at the University of Washington said Friday the expected U.S. vaccine rollout will mean 9,000 fewer deaths by April 1. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation predicts that warmer temperatures and then rising vaccination rates will lead to steady declines in the daily death toll starting in February.

But even with a vaccine, the death toll could reach 770,000 by April 1 if states do not act to bring current surges under control, the group said.

States learned only this week how many doses to expect and when, and received guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommending that health care workers and nursing home patients get the first doses. That meant that some had to make last-minute adjustments.

“2020 has taught us to plan for what you can and then expect something to happen that you never dreamed would happen,” Dr. Michelle Fiscus, medical director of the Tennessee Department of Health’s immunization program, said during a Friday webinar. “I can’t tell you how many plans we’ve crumpled up and thrown away.”

Connecticut Gov. Ned Lamont said nursing home residents, along with front-line health care workers, will get the first doses in his state.

“These are the folks most likely to suffer complications. These are the older folks who most likely suffer fatalities. And these are the folks most likely to go into the hospital,” Lamont said Thursday. Connecticut expects to receive its first shipment of 31,000 doses of vaccine from Pfizer on Dec. 14 and its first shipment of 61,000 from Moderna on Dec. 21.

But states also were balancing concerns about the economy and protecting essential workers.

Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly said the state’s vaccine plan calls for the first shots to go to front-line health care workers with a high risk of coronavirus exposure, including workers in nursing homes, as well as nursing home residents. Meatpacking plant workers and grocery store employees will be next in line, along with first responders.

In Ohio, health care workers and others caring for COVID-19 patients and emergency medical responders will be first in line for the vaccine, Republican Gov. Mike DeWine said Friday. Vulnerable people who live together and those who care for them, including nursing home and assisted facility residents and staff, will be next.

The state expects more than 500,000 in combined doses from Pfizer and Moderna by the end of December, the governor said, with the first distribution starting on Dec. 15. DeWine said it’s too soon to know when adults without health problems will receive a vaccine and warned Ohioans will have to remain vigilant.

“We’re in a very dangerous situation and … we can’t let our hospitals get to the point where health care is threatened,” DeWine said. “The curfew, mask-wearing, retail inspection have helped, but they haven’t helped enough. We’ll have to do more. We don’t have a choice.”

___

Christie reported from Phoenix. Associated Press writers Bryan Anderson in Raleigh, North Carolina; Carla K. Johnson in Seattle; Edith Lederer in New York City; John Hanna in Topeka, Kansas; Michael Rubinkam in northeastern Pennsylvania; Paul Davenport in Phoenix; Sam Metz in Carson City, Nevada; Susan Haigh in Hartford, Connecticut; and Tammy Webber in Fenton, Michigan, contributed to this story.

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