2 areas to watch in the tropics

Published: Updated:

Happy Sunday, SW Florida!

The National Hurricane Center is watching TWO disturbances in the Atlantic, both have a chance of becoming a depression or tropical storm over the next several days.

The strong tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic continues to fire showers and storms, but for now, remains disorganized. There’s an outside chance that a depression or weak storm spins up over the next several days as it moves to the west toward the Antilles, so we’ll have to watch it.

It’s worth mentioning that none of the reliable models do much with it. Also, it’s June, so there is a TON of factors going against it, including climatology, marginal water temps, dry air, and wind shear that could prevent something from spinning up.

The NHC gives this a 30% chance of becoming a depression or storm over the next 5 days. Development would be nearly unprecedented in the deep Atlantic in June, so this would be a bad sign of an active hurricane season. But for now, this is nothing more than an area of thunderstorms thousands of miles away. Regardless, the Lesser and Greater Antilles could see some squally weather as 95L passes by next week.

Meanwhile, we’re watching an area of showers and storms southwest of Bermuda. This looks more organized over the last 24 hours on satellite, and we will have to watch it as it quickly approaches the coasts of northern Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina on Monday. The NHC gives this area a medium 50% of spinning up and becoming a Tropical Depression.

Next names are Danny and Elsa.

Back home, it’s much of the same as we go into the summer doldrums. Scattered afternoon storms and highs in the 90s almost every day!

Heading out on the water over the next few days? Expect Gulf wave heights to range from 1′-3′ through Tuesday of next week.

As always, stay tuned to WINK News and The Weather Authority for all your weather updates!

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