Wall Street pushed higher Thursday after a surge in oil prices helped resuscitate beaten-down energy stocks. The gains helped overshadow another report showing the coronavirus outbreak is forcing millions of Americans into the unemployment queue by the week.
The S&P 500 was up a little less than 1% in afternoon trading after flipping between small gains and losses shortly after the opening bell. It took off with the price of oil, which surged more than 30% after President Donald Trump said he expects Saudi Arabia and Russia to back away from their price war.
But like oil, stocks gave up a good chunk of their initial jumps as markets weighed how definitive Trump’s comments were. He tweeted only that he expects and hopes for upcoming production cuts after talking with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.
Oil producers have been continuing to pull oil from the ground to maintain their market share, even as demand for energy cratered because of widespread stay-at-home orders and other economy-damaging restrictions caused by the coronavirus outbreak. The resulting buildup of oil supplies sent crude’s price spiraling by roughly two thirds in the first three months of the year.
Benchmark U.S. crude oil was up 22% at $24.71 per barrel, as of 1:30 p.m. Eastern time. It’s rallying back after dropping below $20 earlier this week to its lowest price since 2002. At the year’s start, it was above $60.
That helped energy stocks in the S&P 500 rally 6.3%, by far the biggest gain among the 11 sectors that make up the index. Schlumberger jumped 9%, EOG Resources rose 7.9% and Occidental Petroleum leaped nearly 18%, but all three remain down by more than half for the year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 134 points, or 0.6%, to 21,077, and the Nasdaq was up 0.4%.
The S&P 500 had been down as much as 0.6% earlier Thursday morning after the U.S. government reported that more than 6.6 million Americans applied for unemployment benefits last week. That’s double the prior week’s number, which itself was nearly five times the prior record set in 1982.
Roughly one of every 16 Americans in the workforce has applied for unemployment benefits in the last two weeks, and economists expect the number only to rise further. That has many investors bracing for what may be the worst recession of their lifetimes.
There are more than 980,000 confirmed cases worldwide, led by the United States with more than 226,000, according to a tally by Johns Hopkins University.
For most people, the coronavirus causes mild or moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough that clear up in two to three weeks. For some, especially older adults and people with existing health problems, it can cause more severe illness, including pneumonia, and death.
More than 50,000 have died, but over 204,000 have recovered.
Many investors expect markets to remain incredibly volatile until the number of new infections peaks, Only that can clear the uncertainty about how bad the upcoming downturn will be and how long it will last.
The S&P 500 is still down more than 22% for 2020 so far, and investors are preparing for companies to soon begin reporting weaker profits from year-ago levels. Earnings reporting season for the first quarter kicks off in earnest in two weeks.
“The duration and impact of this virus remains unknown and volatility will remain the norm and not the exception,” said Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.
“It’s hard to envision the market moving meaningfully higher until you get some visibility of where earnings are going to go,” he said.
To help cushion the blow, Congress last week agreed on a $2.2 trillion economic aid package and the Federal Reserve promised to buy as many Treasurys as needed to keep credit markets running smoothly.
The Fed’s moves, in particular, have helped improve trading in markets that provide lending to governments, hospitals, companies and other vital areas of the economy, investors say.
Legislators are collecting ideas for a possible new round of aid. President Donald Trump tweeted his support for a $2 trillion infrastructure package. But top Republicans in Congress say they first want to see how well their newly approved programs do.
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