Forecasters monitoring tropical wave in far eastern Atlantic

Reporter: Dylan Federico Writer: Derrick Shaw
Published: Updated:

A strong tropical wave southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has been designated INVEST 95L by the National Hurricane Center. The disturbance has gotten better organized overnight, with increased spin and thunderstorm activity on satellite.

INVEST 95L is forecast to slide westward into the warm waters of the tropical Atlantic over the next several days. There is a short window for development over the next couple of days while the disturbance is embedded within a favorable environment of deep tropical moisture and low wind shear. However, conditions will become more hostile as it approaches the Lesser Antilles in several days, with increasing wind shear and dry air. So, even if development were to occur, it would likely fall apart as it approaches the Caribbean, just like Gonzalo a few weeks ago.

The National Hurricane Center gives this feature a low 20% of development over the next five days. The next name on the list is Josephine.

Otherwise, the Atlantic is quiet, but that won’t last heading into late August!

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