Scattered storms expected; Tropics very busy

The Weather Authority expects typical August weather for your Sunday, with a mix of sun and clouds, highs in the low-90s, and a chance of storms in the afternoon.

Sunday will start off nice with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the 70s and 80s.

By the afternoon hours, temperatures will soar into the 90s, with the heat index back into the triple digits area-wide.

The heat will be enough to spark scattered storms in the afternoon and evening.

Looking ahead to the workweek, expect daily storm chances across Southwest Florida. Otherwise, temperatures aren’t expected to budge much, with highs in the low to mid-90s and lows in the upper-70s.

In the tropics, we’re watching four tropical disturbances.

The first is a tropical wave in the central Caribbean, which is expected to move towards the west over the next several days. By the end of the week, conditions will be favorable enough for a depression to form as it crosses the Yucatan, and into the southwest Gulf of Mexico away from Florida. Computer models are mixed on development with the GFS beating the drums that this could be a threat to Mexico and Texas next weekend, yet the EURO and Canadian do nothing with it. The National Hurricane Center currently gives it a low 20% chance of development over the next five days

The second is a large tropical disturbance over the central Tropical Atlantic (Invest 91L), which bears watching as it moves westward over the next week or so toward the Lesser Antilles, and potentially the Bahamas by next weekend. Conditions are favorable for gradual organization, and computer models are in unanimous agreement that this will develop. The National Hurricane Center calls for a high 70% chance of development over the next five days.

Another strong tropical wave is set to exit Africa over the next couple of days. Conditions generally look favorable for slow development as it moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic this week. The National Hurricane Center gives it a low 20% chance of becoming a depression over the next five days.

Meanwhile, in the northern Atlantic we’re watching Invest 92L. This disturbance has shown some signs of organization, but the National Hurricane Center only gives it a low chance of becoming a depression as conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development over the next five days.

The next four names on the list are Danielle, Earl, Fiona, and Gaston.