Tropics Heating Up!

After a brief lull, another blitz of tropical activity appears to be on the way in the Atlantic Basin.

The area that has our primary focus is the southwestern Caribbean, where tropical trouble is becoming increasingly likely next week. The National Hurricane Center expects an area of low pressure to form next week, and currently has a low 30% chance of a depression forming over the next 5 days.

While development chances are low over the next several days, there could be even higher chance of development late next week. It’s too early to speculate on any potential track or intensity. Nothing to worry about for now, but something to watch in the coming days.

Otherwise, a broad, non-tropical low is currently located about 500 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. This is expected to becoming a subtropical depression or storm over in the coming days as it meanders over the central Atlantic.

Model plots keep this tropical wave over the Atlantic, as it is forecast to move south, then turns more to a west/northwest movement towards Bermuda. This is not a threat to southwest Florida.

The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a high 90% chance of developing.

The next two names are Epsilon & Zeta.

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LOCAL FORECAST

Today will be much drier than Friday, with breezy conditions developing ahead of a stalled out frontal boundary. Look for highs in the upper 80s with a northeasterly breeze near 15 mph.

Sunday will be the wetter of the two days for the weekend, with scattered afternoon rain & a few rumbles of thunder returning to the area. Breezy conditions will continue through the weekend, and into early next week.