Two tropical waves to watch

Happy Sunday, SW Florida!

Your day looks very summerlike with a mix of sun and clouds, afternoon storms, and highs in the lower to mid-90s!

Looking ahead to the work week, I’m not seeing any big changes to our rain chances, with scattered storms in the forecast each day through at least the middle of next week. By late week, a tropical wave moving westward across the Bahamas could increase rain chances.

Speaking of the tropics, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring two tropical waves embedded within a large area of disturbed weather in the Tropical Atlantic. These areas don’t show any imminent signs of development and don’t pose any short-term threat to SW Florida or the United States. Models are all over the place and don’t know what, if anything, will come out of this mess. However, it’s August, so we need to keep an eye on these tropical waves as this is the time of the year the Cabo Verde season cranks up!

If there was one wave to keep an eye on, it’s the wave out front, which the NHC along with computer model guidance signals will be in the Bahamas on Friday, where water temperatures will be warm and wind shear will be marginally favorable. The NHC currently gives this wave a moderate 50% of becoming a depression over the next five days, and those odds have slowly been creeping up. We’ll keep an eye on it at The Weather Authority!